This research paper is Comparing the Great Recession to the Great Depression, I know it has Abstract, Introduction, Research Question, Methodology, Analysis (Similarities of the Great Recession and the Great Depression), Preventive Government Interventions and Conclusion.Everything is pretty good, but in the analysis part, this research paper just talks about the similarities, my professor thinks there should be some differences, so please add the differences between the Great Recession and the Great Depression.Thank u very much !!!
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
Comparing the Great Recession to the Great Depression
Student’s Name:
Professor’s Name:
Course: Econ 3353 – Money and Banking
Date: 3/19/2019
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
Comparing the Great Recession to the Great Depression
Abstract
The Great Recession is a period that saw a great economic
decline between the late 2000s
and early 2010s. The economic recession affected the world
markets but had an especially great
impact on the US. The Great Depression, on the other hand,
took place from 1929 to 1939 is one
of the worst economic declines that have been referred to
alongside the Great Recession in the
US. The period that preceded the economic crises of the Great
Depression and the Great
Recession had several key similarities of importance to
governments for the implementation of
future recessions. The three main similarities that have been
discussed are government
interference, the lack of inflation, and increased liquidity.
The similarities suggest two things
that the government can do to avoid or mitigate an economic
crisis. To begin with, there is a
need to avoid prolonged interference with market demand and
supply forces and where
necessary then the government should be actively involved
instead of taking an action, then wait
and see the strategy. Additionally, the government can
control inflation during prolonged
sustained inflation rates to avoid the economy getting stuck
by increasing the inflation to boost
economic activity and reduce complacency and uncertainty.
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
Introduction
The Great Recession is a period that saw a great economic
decline between the late 2000s
and early 2010s. The economic recession affected the world
markets but had an especially great
impact on the US. The Great Depression, on the other hand,
took place from 1929 to 1939 is one
of the worst economic declines that have been referred to
alongside the Great Recession in the
US. A study of the two economic decline periods has shown
some similarities and differences.
For one to be better prepared for the future, it is
imperative that the past is studied. Therefore, by
comparing the Great Recession and the Great Depression
relative to the factors influenced the
economic downturns, we can establish some proposals for
government interventions that can
promote or deter an economic downturn.
Research Question
The US economic environment preceding the Great Depression
was marked by great
prosperity. The period referred to ‘the Roaring 20s’ by some,
saw a great industrial gain in the US.
There was general peace in the US which promoted a healthy
economy. The mass production of
commodities such as the automobile and household appliances
among other consumer goods
promoted a vibrant consumer culture that enabled prosperity.
The fiscal policies implemented by
three consecutive Republican governments were generally
conservative which promoted private
investments and business. Consumerism as a market concept
also evolved into its own driving force
that was largely driven by mass production and new
advertising techniques.
On the other hand, the period preceding the Great Recession
was marked by lots of
mixed fortunes. To begin with, there was a strong economic
expansion characterized by low
employment rates in 2000. The internet boom also played a
critical role in this economic boom.
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
This strong expansion was shocked by a major terrorist attack
in 2001. A war on terrorism and
Iraq war became a priority which saw the US economy get
drained off a huge amount of money.
In the year 2002, there was a stock market crash just after
the economy had begun picking
strongly after the terrorist attack. In 2005, India and China
grew to be global financial powers
while Hurricane Katrina and Rita hit the US causing losses
worth hundreds of billions in dollars.
In 2007 and 2008, there was a housing crisis which together
with one of the biggest Wall Street
fraud schemes led to the Great Recession.
As seen, the periods before the Great Depression and the
Great Depression are marked
by different economic conditions. As such, one cannot clearly
identify a pattern that links some
key similarities leading to both crises. Therefore, there is
a need to analyze the two periods to
find similarities. Additionally, L’Huillier & Yoo (2017)
note that the activities of the federal
government on the economy affect the private institutions and
businesses and can lead to an
economic downturn. As such, there is a need to determine the
role of government intrusion in
the build-up to the economic downturns. To satisfy these
queries fully, the paper adopts two key
research questions: are there similarities between the great
depression of the 1930s and the great
recession of 2007-2009? Did government intrusions help in
dealing with the crisis in the two
events?
Methodology
There are numerous research studies that have been conducted
in the areas pertaining to
the Great Depression and the Great Recession. The research
studies have been fueled heavily by
the great impact that the two economic downturns had on the
US economy for analysis of current
and future economic trends to predict the possibility of the
events recurring. These research
studies have collected actual primary data and opinions from
the 1920s and the 2000s that are not
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
possible to collect at the time due to time and resource
constraints. Due to the reliability of
the accuracy of data from past research, the paper will use
secondary and tertiary data from
peer-reviewed and scholarly journals and books to answer the
research questions. The data
will be used to analyze the similarities and government
interventions applied during the
periods. Therefore, this paper utilizes past literature and
research studies on the Great
Depression and Great Recession to examine the similarities
and develop possible future
strategies to avoid economic downturns.
Analysis
The Great Depression
To begin with, the period of the Great Depression saw an
increased amount of private
investments and businesses. In the 1920s, the government
slashed the taxes by a huge amount
moving from about 70% to 25% on income and capital taxes
(Temin, 2010). The slash was
done on a gradual basis beginning from 1922 then 1924 and
finally 1925. As a result, there was
more revenue for the citizens. With more revenue, there was
an increase in the amount of
disposable income. There was a substantial gain in the
proportion of the high-income taxpayers
who were paying taxes as compared to the period before. The
people from the lower classes had
more disposable income too. The disposable income was used to
buy luxury goods and other
commodities that were out of reach.
Additionally, people also invested in businesses and on Wall
Street. The major Wall Street
investments were in tax-exempt shares. The government was for
the rationale that the tax cuts
would lead to created wealth for the government and the
people. The taxes that were high were
expected to be paid now that they had been slashed. Since the
tax cuts meant there was
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
reduced revenue for the government from taxes, the government
also slashed on its spending
during this period. Therefore, in the 1920s, there were
income and capital tax cuts which led
to reduced government spending but increased spending by
individuals leading to an
economic boom and high investment in the stock market.
The Great Recession
On the other hand, the period preceding the Great Recession
saw mortgage taxes that
favored high purchases on housing. To begin with, there was a
construction boom in the mid2000s that was higher than the
population growth rate. As such, there was an over-supply of
houses that resulted. The US government also encourages
citizens to own homes. The
mortgage tax for the owner-occupied house is deductible on
the income tax. The imputed tax
that is lost from owning a home and not paying tax to a
landlord is also tax-free.
As such, these two tax policies encouraged people to buy
houses and they were readily
available due to the surplus supply from the construction
boom. The tax policies also encourage
homeowners to pay slowly which means that people have less
incentive to clear mortgages quickly.
Additionally, these policies encourage people to buy and sell
immediately which can create high
value for houses. This practice is blinding since investors
are blind to the rate of supply versus
demand as indicated by real sale prices of houses. To
capitalize on this fact, the financial
institutions gave loans at very low-interest rates and at the
time required no down payment (Temin,
2010). However, soon people realized that they had assets
that they could not pay for and
additionally there were no people to buy them off. The
financial institutions were majorly affected
(Koch, et al., 2016). The assets that banks and financial
institutions could repossess had no one to
buy yet the people who owned could not pay off their loans.
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
Similarities of the Great Recession and the Great Depression
a. Federal Government Interference
There are various similarities that can be seen in the
build-up to both recessions. To
begin with, there are rapid growths that are marked with no
contractions. The periods were
marked with long periods of no depression. While one would
normally expect apprehension, the
opposite effect was seen. As such, the public had more
confidence in the system leading to
increased spending and investments with little analysis of
risks and without reading the economy
accurately. This accounted for increased spending and growth
of investments and businesses
over both periods. From 1921 to 1929 there was a great
economic expansion just as it was in the
period 2001 to around 2007 (Ohanian, 2017). However, one
clear similarity appears in the
periods. There were policies from the federal government that
favored extreme economic
expansion.
The federal government had a great influence on the economic
expansions that were seen
in the lead-up periods of both the Great Recession and the
Great Depression. The federal
government implemented expansive credit policies that favored
home-ownership among the
public. One more aspect led to the backfire of the expansive
credit that was characterized by
low-interest rates. In 2001, one of the biggest scandals in
corporate governance led to the
collapse of Enron. Enron was an energy company that had
shares that were high reaching above
$90 per share but plummeted to about $1 per share within a
period of one year. Enron filed
bankruptcy with an asset base of $60 billion. Moreover, with
its downfall, there were casualties
such as Arthur Andersen, which was one of the biggest audit
firms in the country that had a
wide portfolio too. The collapse of such corporations due to
poor governance was a huge hit to
the economy.
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
The federal government sustained the economy through
increased expansive credit
policies to avoid inflation. As such, the debt that the
economy had incurred from the collapse if
the corporations were shifted to the households which engaged
in increased spending aided by
loans at low-interest rates. Soon, there was more debt in the
public that could be sustained by the
financial institutions.
Similarly, in the period 1921 to 1929, the federal government
played a hand that led to
the expansive economic growth that artificially created.
During the period there was a recession
that lasted about 14 months from 1923 to 1924. Additionally,
there was another recession that
lasted from 1926 to 1927 that lasted a similar period as the
previous one. However, the
recessions were mild and steady that no one noticed that
there was an economic recession that
was set up. In the period on 1923 to 1924, the government
helped sustain the economic
expansion through lowering of income and capital tax even
further to reach 25% in 1925. Just
like the fall in corporations in 2001 that saw the government
react with sustained expansive
credit policies, the government reacted to the short
recession by sustained tax cuts on income
and capital which helped the households sustain the economy.
b. Increased Liquidity
The periods that preceded the economic downturns were both
characterized by increased
liquidity. The government expansive credit policies in the
period 1920 to 1929 led to an increase in
the amount of money that the citizens were taking home. This
increase in money allowed for more
money to circulate the economy. In the peak of the 1920 to
1929 period, the stock money in the US
government stood at about 45% of the while period in 1929
which was the peak. This stock market
boom was limited slightly in 1929 by government restrictive
monetary measures.
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
In the period that led up to the Great Recession, there was
also an increase in liquidity.
This increase in liquidity was aided by two main factors. To
begin with, the expansive credit
policies by the government led to increased money on the
households due to low-interest rates by
the financial institutions. The liquidity during this period
was also aided by the increase in
financial might of China and India. China and India’s
economies were booming and the two
countries had emerged as financial might in the global
economy. As such, their exchange
reserves had grown too which allowed for increased commercial
trade. Therefore, increased
liquidity was a key factor in that is similar between the
Great Recession and the Great
Depression.
c. Lack of Inflation
The increase in liquidity over the periods preceding the
Great Depression and the Great
Recession also meant that there was a lack of inflation. This
was the opposite of what is
expected in a period of liquidity. The steady increase in the
stock market over the period of 1921
to 1929 saw a slight dip in 1929 due to restrictive monetary
policies. The wholesale prices over
the period remained rather stable with prices of commodities
remaining rather low throughout
the period. These factors show a lack of substantial
inflation.
In the period leading up to the Great Recession, similarly
enjoyed a lack of substantial
inflation. The combination of external and internal factors
aided this lack of inflation. The
increase in China and India’s economic might as well as the
expansive credit policies allowed for
the inflation rate to remain rather stable. The inflation
rate maintained over both periods because
the goods that were manufactured were demanded by the growing
economies which helped
sustain the market forces and as such maintain the inflation
rates over both periods.
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
Preventive Government Interventions
From the analysis above, it is possible to see that there
were great similarities between
the Great Depression and the Great Recession. As such, there
are lessons that can be drawn from
these two periods that can be applied by the federal
government to look for signs of a recession
as well as take action to prevent or mitigate the effects.
To begin with, there was excessive government intervention
over both periods. The
government intervention took the form of tax-cuts on income
and capital as well as expansive
credit policies. The two steps by the government over both
periods led to the creation of
artificially-created economic expansion by putting more money
in the pockets of households
leading to more investments and spending. Additionally, the
sustained periods of artificial
economic expansion increased the risk appetite of the
households leading to investments that
were not well-analyzed by the financial institutions as well
as the households. As such, soon
afterward there was an over-supply of products that lead to a
fall in prices since there was no one
to consume them and similarly there were no returns leading
to a financial crisis in the periods.
This suggests that first, the government should avoid
interference with the market
demand and supply forces (Duca, 2017). Demand and supply
forces naturally reach an
equilibrium that best governs the economy. Interference in
the government should be only for
short periods of time. If an intervention is to be sustained
for a prolonged period of time, such as
the ones witnessed in the preceding periods of the Great
Recession and the Great Depression, the
government should apply an active role in maintaining the
equilibrium of the market and supply
forces rather than taking a wait and see approach as seen in
the periods. The active observance
should involve the active adjustments of production of goods
and policies that favor
sustainability.
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
Another intervention that the government can pursue is the
control of inflation. Both
periods preceding the economic recessions saw a general lack
of inflation despite increased
money going to the pockets of the citizens and reduced
government spending. This is a sign that
should be looked out for. When identified, there is a need to
target economic growth by causing
an increase in the inflation rate. This is based on the
rationale that maintained inflation and low
inflation rates leads to the economy getting stuck in the
period. Therefore, to avoid the
economy remaining stuck and creating a sense of complacency
and high uncertainty, the
government can intervene with increasing inflation rates that
will boost the economic growth by
breaking deflationary spending.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the period that preceded the economic crises
of the Great Depression and the
Great Recession had several key similarities of importance to
governments for the implementation of
future recessions. The three main similarities that have been
discussed are government interference,
the lack of inflation, and increased liquidity. Government
interference took the form of tax-cuts on
income and capital and expansive credit policies that were
sustained for a prolonged period of time.
There was a lack of substantive inflation over both periods
despite the government cutting on
spending and consumers having increased disposable income
which was attributed to high export
demand for excess goods produced by the market. There was
also increased liquidity in both periods
due to increased access to loans by consumers due to low
-interest rates and increased revenue. The
similarities suggest two things that the government can do to
avoid or mitigate an economic crisis.
To begin with, there is a need to avoid prolonged
interference with market demand and supply forces
and where necessary then the government should be actively
involved instead of taking an action,
then wait and see the strategy.
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
Additionally, the government can control inflation during
prolonged sustained inflation rates
to avoid the economy getting stuck by increasing the
inflation to boost economic activity and
reduce complacency and uncertainty.
Running head: ECONOMIC CRISIS
References
Barranco, J. A. P., & Sudrià, C. (2012). ‘The Great
Depression’ versus ‘The Great Recession.’
Financial crashes and industrial slumps. Revista de Historia
Industrial, (48), 23-48.
Duca, J. V. (2017). The Great Depression versus the Great
Recession in the US: How fiscal,
monetary, and financial policies compare. Journal of Economic
Dynamics and Control,
81, 50-64.
Koch, C., Richardson, G., Van Horn, P. (2016). Bank leverage
and regulatory regimes:
Evidence from the great depression and great recession.
American Economic Review,
106(5), 538-42.
L’Huillier, J. P., & Yoo, D. (2017). Bad news in the
Great Depression, the Great Recession, and
other US recessions: A comparative study. Journal of Economic
Dynamics and Control,
81, 79-98.
Ohanian, L. E. (2017). The Great Recession in the Shadow of
the Great Depression: A Review
Essay on Hall of Mirrors: The Great Depression, the Great
Recession, and the Uses and
Misuses of History, by Barry Eich …
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